update beyond-ML

pglpm · Oct 30, 2024 · 666fe89 · 666fe89
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diff --git a/_freeze/connection-1-ML/execute-results/html.json b/_freeze/connection-1-ML/execute-results/html.json
diff --git a/basic_decisions.qmd b/basic_decisions.qmd
@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ A basic decision problem is analysed in terms of the following elements:
 
 ::::{.column-margin}
 :::{.callout-tip}
-##
+##  
 [{{< fa seedling >}} Remember: What matters is to be able to identify these elements in a concrete problem, understanding their role. Their technical names don't matter.]{.small}
 :::
 ::::

diff --git a/beyond-ML.qmd b/beyond-ML.qmd
diff --git a/code_design.qmd b/code_design.qmd
@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ Roughly speaking, more versatility corresponds to calculations of the joint prob
 
 ::::{.column-page-right}
 :::{.callout-note}
-##
+##  
 
 $$
 \P(
@@ -92,7 +92,7 @@ To enjoy the versatility discussed above, the code needs to compute
 
 ::::{.column-page-right}
 :::{.callout-note}
-##
+##  
 
 $$
 \P(
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ But the computation of formula (@eq-objectP) (for all values of $\bz$) must be d
 
 ::::{.column-page-inset-right}
 :::{.callout-note}
-##
+##  
 
 (example with $Z \defd ({\red A}, {\blue B}, {\yellow C})$)
 

diff --git a/connection-1-ML.qmd b/connection-1-ML.qmd
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ In [§@sec-optimality] we emphasized that "guessing successfully" can be a misle
 ## A "max-success" classifier vs an optimal classifier
 
 :::{.callout-note}
-##
+##  
 You find the code for this chapter and exercises also in [this JupyterLab notebook for R](code/mlc_vs_opm.ipynb) and (courtesy of Viktor Karl Gravdal!) [this JupyterLab notebook for python](code/mlc_vs_opm_py.ipynb).
 :::
 

diff --git a/dirichlet-mixture.qmd b/dirichlet-mixture.qmd
@@ -343,7 +343,7 @@ With the explicit formula
 
 :::{.column-page-inset-right}
 ::::{.callout-note}
-##
+##  
 
 $$
 \P(

diff --git a/docs/basic_decisions.html b/docs/basic_decisions.html
@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
 
 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes">
 
-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-09-28">
+<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-30">
 
 <title>ADA511 0.2 Data Science and AI prototyping - 3&nbsp; Basic decision problems</title>
 <style>
@@ -133,7 +133,7 @@ <h1 class="quarto-secondary-nav-title"><span id="sec-basic-decisions" class="qua
       <img src="./ada511logo8_small.png" alt="" class="sidebar-logo py-0 d-lg-inline d-none">
       </a>
     <div class="sidebar-title mb-0 py-0">
-      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-09-28</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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@@ -580,7 +580,7 @@ <h1 class="title d-none d-lg-block"><span id="sec-basic-decisions" class="quarto
     <div>
     <div class="quarto-title-meta-heading">Published</div>
     <div class="quarto-title-meta-contents">
-      <p class="date">2024-09-28</p>
+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
     </div>
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@@ -613,7 +613,7 @@ <h2 data-number="3.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="graphical-representation-
 <i class="callout-icon no-icon"></i>
 </div>
 <div class="callout-title-container flex-fill">
-Tip
+&nbsp;
 </div>
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diff --git a/docs/beyond-ML.html b/docs/beyond-ML.html
diff --git a/docs/code_design.html b/docs/code_design.html
@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
 
 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes">
 
-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-09-28">
+<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-30">
 
 <title>ADA511 0.2 Data Science and AI prototyping - 33&nbsp; Code design</title>
 <style>
@@ -133,7 +133,7 @@ <h1 class="quarto-secondary-nav-title"><span id="sec-code-design" class="quarto-
       <img src="./ada511logo8_small.png" alt="" class="sidebar-logo py-0 d-lg-inline d-none">
       </a>
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-      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-09-28</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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@@ -579,7 +579,7 @@ <h1 class="title d-none d-lg-block"><span id="sec-code-design" class="quarto-sec
     <div>
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-      <p class="date">2024-09-28</p>
+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
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@@ -619,7 +619,7 @@ <h2 data-number="33.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="sec-code-range"><span cl
 <i class="callout-icon no-icon"></i>
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@@ -687,7 +687,7 @@ <h2 data-number="33.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="sec-code-computations"><
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@@ -728,7 +728,7 @@ <h2 data-number="33.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="sec-code-computations"><
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diff --git a/docs/connection-1-ML.html b/docs/connection-1-ML.html
@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
 
 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes">
 
-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-09-05">
+<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-30">
 
 <title>ADA511 0.2 Data Science and AI prototyping - 4&nbsp; First connection with machine learning</title>
 <style>
@@ -167,7 +167,7 @@ <h1 class="quarto-secondary-nav-title"><span class="chapter-number">4</span>&nbs
       <img src="./ada511logo8_small.png" alt="" class="sidebar-logo py-0 d-lg-inline d-none">
       </a>
     <div class="sidebar-title mb-0 py-0">
-      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-09-05</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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@@ -613,7 +613,7 @@ <h1 class="title d-none d-lg-block"><span class="chapter-number">4</span>&nbsp;
     <div>
     <div class="quarto-title-meta-heading">Published</div>
     <div class="quarto-title-meta-contents">
-      <p class="date">2024-09-05</p>
+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
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@@ -641,7 +641,7 @@ <h2 data-number="4.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="a-max-success-classifier-
 <i class="callout-icon no-icon"></i>
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@@ -679,8 +679,8 @@ <h2 data-number="4.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="example-1-electronic-comp
 <div class="cell-output cell-output-stdout">
 <pre><code>
 Trials: 100000
-Machine-Learning Classifier: successes 87480 ( 87.5 %) | total gain -26763
-Optimal Predictor Machine:   successes 72689 ( 72.7 %) | total gain 9586</code></pre>
+Machine-Learning Classifier: successes 87423 ( 87.4 %) | total gain -26033
+Optimal Predictor Machine:   successes 72662 ( 72.7 %) | total gain 10086</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
 <p>Note how the <span class="yellow">machine-learning classifier</span> is the one that <em>makes most successful guesses</em> (around 88%), <strong>and yet it leads to a net loss!</strong> If the utility were in <em>kroner</em>, this classifier would cause the company producing the components a <span class="red">net loss of more than 20 000 kr</span>.</p>
@@ -720,8 +720,8 @@ <h2 data-number="4.3" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="example-2-find-aladdin-im
 <div class="cell-output cell-output-stdout">
 <pre><code>
 Trials: 10000
-Machine-Learning Classifier: successes 6540 ( 65.4 %) | total gain 4612
-Optimal Predictor Machine:   successes 6024 ( 60.2 %) | total gain 5534</code></pre>
+Machine-Learning Classifier: successes 6502 ( 65 %) | total gain 4426
+Optimal Predictor Machine:   successes 6105 ( 61 %) | total gain 5788</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
 <p>Again we see that the <span class="yellow">machine-learning classifier</span> makes more successful guesses than the <span class="blue">optimal predictor machine</span>, but the latter yields a higher “emotional utility”.</p>

diff --git a/docs/dirichlet-mixture.html b/docs/dirichlet-mixture.html
@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
 
 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes">
 
-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-09-28">
+<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-30">
 
 <title>ADA511 0.2 Data Science and AI prototyping - 32&nbsp; The Dirichlet-mixture belief distribution</title>
 <style>
@@ -133,7 +133,7 @@ <h1 class="quarto-secondary-nav-title"><span id="sec-dirichlet-mix" class="quart
       <img src="./ada511logo8_small.png" alt="" class="sidebar-logo py-0 d-lg-inline d-none">
       </a>
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-      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-09-28</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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@@ -585,7 +585,7 @@ <h1 class="title d-none d-lg-block"><span id="sec-dirichlet-mix" class="quarto-s
     <div>
     <div class="quarto-title-meta-heading">Published</div>
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-      <p class="date">2024-09-28</p>
+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
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diff --git a/docs/exchangeable_probabilities.html b/docs/exchangeable_probabilities.html
@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
 
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-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-09-05">
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 <title>ADA511 0.2 Data Science and AI prototyping - 28&nbsp; Exchangeable beliefs</title>
 <style>
@@ -133,7 +133,7 @@ <h1 class="quarto-secondary-nav-title"><span id="sec-exchangeable-beliefs" class
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-      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-09-05</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
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diff --git a/docs/framework.html b/docs/framework.html
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-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-09-28">
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+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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-      <p class="date">2024-09-28</p>
+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
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diff --git a/docs/index.html b/docs/index.html
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
 
 <meta name="author" content="S. Mæland ORCID">
 <meta name="author" content="P.G.L. Porta Mana ORCID ">
-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-18">
+<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-30">
 
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 <style>
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-      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-18</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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-      <p class="date">2024-10-18</p>
+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
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diff --git a/docs/inference.html b/docs/inference.html
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 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes">
 
-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-10">
+<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2024-10-30">
 
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+      <a href="./">ADA511 <span class="small grey">0.2</span><br><span class="small grey">2024-10-30</span><br></a><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0"><img src="cc_by_sa.png" class="img-fluid" style="width:3em" alt="CC BY-SA 4.0"> <span class="small grey">licence</span></a><br> 
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-      <p class="date">2024-10-10</p>
+      <p class="date">2024-10-30</p>
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     ::::{.column-margin}
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     [{{< fa seedling >}} Remember: What matters is to be able to identify these elements in a concrete problem, understanding their role. Their technical names don't matter.]{.small}
     :::
     ::::
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