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*** DRAFT! ***

This repository is still very unclean and not ready for public use. Please do feel free to check out code - just note that I plan to clean a lot of it up in the near future and make the code actually executable end to end!

Mortality prediction

This repository contains a variety of notebooks which qualitatively and quantitatively evaluate the performance of a real time mortality prediction system developed using data from the MIMIC-III clinical database.

Notebooks

The primary notebooks are as follows:

Notebook name Purpose Data used
mp-prep-data.ipynb Prepare various design matrices for model development RTD, F24
mp-benchmark-model.ipynb Benchmark machine learning models against severity of illness scores F24
mp-random-time-evaluation.ipynb Performance of models RTD
mp-qualitative-evaluation Assess the performance of models using a few test patients RTD

Other notebooks which have tangential but interesting analyses:

Notebook name Purpose Data used
mp-from-materialized-views.ipynb Same as above, but uses pre-generated materialized views, not CSVs RTD
mp-plot-model-risks Plot model outputs over time on test patients RTD
mp-plot-patient-data Plot patient data over time RTD

RTD: Data from a window centered at a random time during the patient's stay. F24: Data from the first 24 hours of data.

RTD implies that the data has been extracted from a window centered at a random time during the patient's ICU stay. The goal of data extraction in this fashion is to make the model applicable at any time during a patient's ICU stay: if the distribution of data extraction was any time during an ICU stay, it is more reasonable to apply a model to any time during a patient's ICU stay. Conversely, data from the first 24 hours (F24) is more commonly used when benchmarking ICUs/hospitals. This data is meant to provide a snapshot of the patient acuity on admission, and subsequent outcomes are compared to expected outcomes to evaluate the hospital/ICU performance.

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Real time mortality prediction in the MIMIC-III database

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