19 May - Boundary check - within probalistic space

[daijapan]

boundary = clearly, nothing is deterministic except our own decision

[daijapan]

step 1 : calculate this
X - let's suppose the following can be valid in 70% of cases of 10 different nasdaq tech company stock for 2021-2023. (3yrs) (conditonal stock price under $20 on 1st Jan 2021)
a- buy at "the d' MA > 0 for 30days" type of uptrend = condition A
b-try to sell it after 90days (hoping the price goes up) = condition B
c- upside threshhold as +30%up = C
d - downside threshhold as -10% down = D
e - if in 30 cases, c happens in 3 cases, d happens in 10 cases = offsetting
f - other 60cases are in between -10% and +30%.
g - maybe we are not earning or losing anything

[daijapan]

step 2 : what is optimal of B?
step 3: what is optimal of C?
step 4 : what is optimal of D?
step 5 : can 1 to 4 be applicable for 100 different nasdaq tech stock?
step 6 : how can we improve A?